Ten reasons why Nigel Farage COULD become Prime Minister in 2029 as Reform UK pulls ahead - Keith Bays

Elon Musk's X

A lot has been made of a possible £80million donation from the world's richest man Elon Musk to Reform UK, whether that’s possible or if it will happen at all.

But as we've seen from the recent US Presidential election, having the backing of Musk and the X platform, which boasts 600 million users, can really move the dial, not least by dominating the news agenda.

If Reform UK secure that kind of support, it will be worth much more than any cash donation. It could even pave the way for Nigel Farage to become Britain’s next Prime Minister.

The Trump effect

The most difficult task for opposition parties is taking the attention off the government - the press naturally gravitates to the Prime Minister and their top team whilst everyone else fights for the slithers of column inches that remain.

If Farage and Reform can secure visits to the White House, Mar-a-Largo and Trump's golf course in Scotland, this will take not only the attention away from Starmer’s government, but it will embarrass the Prime Minister.

Importantly, it will allow Farage to shine on the world stage and use the power of the 47th President to boost his own political ambitions.

Growing base 

The fact that Reform UK has over 100,000 members already in the short lifespan of the party should not be underestimated; this unequivocally demonstrates that this is a movement to be taken seriously and that the party is a serious challenger to the establishment parties.

Currently, the Conservative Party has only 131,000 members, a number that is on the decline. And the Labour membership has also fallen from 564,000 in the Corbyn days to 366,000 currently.

The figures demonstrate two things: people are disillusioned and want change, and Farage’s party is on the rise, whilst the establishment parties are in rapid decline. If this continues, the prospect of a Farage premiership increases significantly, as we have seen with Trump, where a strong base propelled him to power.

Polling

Polling Numbers are currently very favourable for Farage, in a recent You Gov poll, he came out on top as the most popular political leader in the UK, ahead of Starmer, Badenoch and Ed Davey by 30 per cent.

This is an important development for Farage and Reform in their quest to become the party of government - having real leadership at the top of any party is important - and this shows the British public is now starting to consider the Reform leader as a credible alternative to the establishment politicians they’ve voted in back and forth for decades.

In a recent Find Out Now Poll, Reform UK has pulled ahead into second place, just two points behind the Conservatives and one point ahead of the incumbent Labour Party.

Policies 

Immigration has arguably become the most important policy area in the UK and has been causing politicians of establishment parties problems for years.

The problem many voters have is that they don’t feel the Conservatives did enough whilst in government, whilst question marks have been raised as to whether Starmer’s “smash the gangs” policy will get the job done and stop illegal immigration.

A growing number of voters - even those who have voted for establishment parties all their lives - are now taking the offering from Reform UK more seriously than they have in the past.

If you ask voters what politician would be best placed to deal with the elephant in the room of British politics: immigration, they would undoubtedly say Farage. This is another reason he is well-placed to seize power in 2029.

The special one

A great man once told me that one of the most important qualities in politics is “personality”, with many members of the public warming to Farage, feeling that Starmer is a bore fest on steroids and someone they can’t engage with.

Farage has a special gift that only Boris Johnson and Trump have, and that is the ability to communicate with all members of the public and get across his messaging effectively. This puts Farage in the box seat to propel himself and his party to power.

Leadership

It’s fair to say that Farage is a man who has his critics, and yet many of them would agree that he has a clear direction for his party and steers his MPs and Cllrs in that direction.

This allows the party to move forward with a unified message, something that’s incredibly important if you are to win power.

The current Prime Minister is behaving like a rabbit in the headlights and looking out of his depth with dire poll ratings, whilst Badenoch is new in post and finding her feet.

Farage’s ability to provide a clear vision not only for his base but also for those who feel politically homeless and are fed up with the establishment will boost Farage’s chances of becoming Britain’s next Prime Minister.

Traditional parties are dead 

The political climate in the UK could at best be described as toxic, the newly elected Labour Party, after five months, is already performing a reset despite having a large majority, they have a leader who has been accepting gifts galore whilst cutting the winter fuel payments for millions of pensioners and destroying the lives of family farmers.

The Conservatives are trying to find what it means to be Conservative again under new leader Badenoch, after a crushing General Election win, there’s now a parting of the seas and a unique opportunity for Farage to come through the middle and win power, there’s never been a better time in modern political history for such a changing of the guard to take place.

US-style campaigning

If you go to a Reform rally now, you’ll notice one thing there more reminiscent of a Trump rally than traditional campaign stops in the UK, large crowds in big venues show a party on the rise with a thirst for change.

You can’t hide a big crowd, by Reform showing off their support in such a way it will encourage those who feel politically homeless that there is another option, that there’s hope.

This is another reason Farage could become Prime Minister; he’s a leader riding the crest of a wave with large swathes of demonstrable support everywhere he goes, compared to the incumbent Prime Minister whose events are smaller, with as much atmosphere as a funeral.

Professionalisation of the party

Professionalisation of Reform UK was a must, giving the party members a constitution was essential. Farage understands the party would have faced the accusation that they could not be taken seriously otherwise.

Bringing in a highly educated and successful person such as Zia Yusuf as party Chairman further demonstrates the determination to professionalise, grow and win.

Part of professionalising a party means putting structures in place to allow it to cope with the demands of a general election, something Farage hasn’t really had before.

The combination of an energized Farage with an organised and fired-up base should strike fear into the hearts of the Labour Party and Starmer, ignore Farage at your peril.

An added bonus

I aimed to keep it at 10 reasons, but one felt too salient to leave out.

Political parties have no future if they can’t secure support from donors, since Farage has returned to frontline politics, he has demonstrated that he has the Midas touch, the ability to significantly increase the party coffers, securing over £1.5 million in the days after taking back the leadership of the party and the backing of notable donors such as Holly Vallance the wife of British billionaire Nick Candy.

Successful people only back winners and more and more are rowing behind Nigel Farage, especially as his chances of becoming Prime Minister increase by the day.